NHL season previews 2024-25: Projecting each team from worst to first

4 October 2024Last Update :
NHL season previews 2024-25: Projecting each team from worst to first

Welcome to The Athletic’s 2024-25 edition of the team season previews, a deep dive into what to expect from each team for the upcoming season by Sean Gentille, Shayna Goldman, and Dom Luszczyszyn.

Between Sept. 30 and Oct. 2, we’re previewing all 32 NHL teams in order of predicted regular-season finish, according to Dom’s model.

Beyond the projected point total and playoff finish, you’ll find a wildcard player that might have an unexpected impact on the forecast, a roster breakdown, one big question facing each team, and a best and worst-case scenario for each team.

• How these projections work
• Understanding projection uncertainty


32. San Jose Sharks

Points: 64.7
Playoffs: 0 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

31. Columbus Blue Jackets

Points: 68.6 
Playoffs: 0 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

30. Anaheim Ducks

Points: 70.1
Playoffs: 0 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

29. Chicago Blackhawks

Points: 77.1
Playoffs: 3 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

28. Calgary Flames

Points: 78.9
Playoffs: 6 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

27. Montreal Canadiens

Points: 80.6
Playoffs: 7 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

26. Detroit Red Wings

Points: 80.0
Playoffs: 8 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

25. St. Louis Blues

Points: 81.8
Playoffs: 10 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

24. Philadelphia Flyers

Points: 81.9
Playoffs: 10 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

23. Washington Capitals

Points: 85.3
Playoffs: 18 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

22. Seattle Kraken

Points: 87.0
Playoffs: 27 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

21. Pittsburgh Penguins

Points: 88.5
Playoffs: 30 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

20. Buffalo Sabres

Points: 88.7
Playoffs: 30 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

19. Ottawa Senators

Points: 89.8 
Playoffs: 35 percent
Stanley Cup: 0 percent

18. Minnesota Wild

Points: 91.6
Playoffs: 47 percent
Stanley Cup: 1 percent

17. Utah Hockey Club

Points: 92.3
Playoffs: 51 percent
Stanley Cup: 1 percent

16. Los Angeles Kings

Points: 92.7
Playoffs: 55 percent
Stanley Cup: 1 percent

15. Vegas Golden Knights

Points: 95.9
Playoffs: 70 percent
Stanley Cup: 2 percent

14. New York Islanders

Points: 96.1
Playoffs: 67 percent
Stanley Cup: 2 percent

13. Tampa Bay Lightning

Points: 96.8
Playoffs: 69 percent
Stanley Cup: 2 percent

12. Boston Bruins

Points: 97.3
Playoffs: 71 percent
Stanley Cup: 3 percent

11. Nashville Predators

Points: 97.7
Playoffs: 75 percent
Stanley Cup: 3 percent

10. Winnipeg Jets

Points: 97.8
Playoffs: 75 percent
Stanley Cup: 4 percent

9. New Jersey Devils

Points: 99.2
Playoffs: 79 percent
Stanley Cup: 4 percent

8. New York Rangers

Points: 101.8
Playoffs: 87 percent
Stanley Cup: 6 percent

7. Carolina Hurricanes

Points: 103.1
Playoffs: 90 percent
Stanley Cup: 8 percent

6. Colorado Avalanche

Points: 103.8
Playoffs: 92 percent
Stanley Cup: 5 percent

5. Florida Panthers

Points: 104.78
Playoffs: 92 percent
Stanley Cup: 9 percent

4. Vancouver Canucks

Points: 105.4
Playoffs: 95 percent
Stanley Cup: 9 percent

3. Dallas Stars

Points: 105.6
Playoffs: 94 percent
Stanley Cup: 10 percent

(Top photos of Matthew Tkachuk and William Nylander: Sean M. Haffey and Claus Andersen / Getty Images)