Blackhawks’ future roster and salary cap, Part 2: Projecting pieces through 2030

21 November 2024Last Update :
Blackhawks’ future roster and salary cap, Part 2: Projecting pieces through 2030

The Athletic’s Corey Pronman often reminds me that he predicts the Chicago Blackhawks’ rebuild to take much longer than people expect. Most people assume it’ll take four to six years — Pronman places it around eight to 10.

The Blackhawks are in their third season of rebuilding. The first was a complete teardown, which resulted in Connor Bedard. Last season was supposed to be better, but injuries derailed any hope of that, and the Blackhawks took Artyom Levshunov with the No. 2 pick. And while the Blackhawks are more competitive this season, their results have been similar to the past two seasons. Before Wednesday’s games, the Blackhawks were 32nd in points percentage and aligned with another top-five draft pick.

Blackhawks general manager Kyle Davidson is unlikely to be alarmed by any of this. When he took over, his long-term plan wasn’t centered around being successful early on. His focus was getting as many high draft picks as possible and putting together a team of them in the future. How long will that take? Our two-part series projecting the Blackhawks’ roster through the 2029-30 season may help answer that.

In the first part, we focused on the 2025-26 season. In this part, we advance the projections over four more seasons. The roster projections get more speculative by the year. Players like Colton Dach and Martin Misiak may replace other players on these rosters. Of course, it’s also unlikely Davidson will build these teams with so many of his own prospects, but you can see how it’s possible. The Blackhawks have a lot of picks coming.


2026-2027 season

Heading into 2026-27, we’ll know how much Bedard’s second contract will cost the Blackhawks. Will he sign a bridge deal or a long-term deal? What percentage of the salary cap will he seek?

Of course, what he does over the next season and a half could play into that. Players who have warranted 14 to 15 percent of the cap on their second deals were already producing at elite rates by this point. With three goals and 13 points in 17 games this season, Bedard isn’t there yet. The Blackhawks know how important he is to the franchise, though. He’s the main attraction and will be for the foreseeable future.

If the Blackhawks can persuade Bedard to sign an eight-year extension, it’ll likely be a massive number at the time but more digestible in the long term. For example, if the cap ceiling increases to around $96 million for the 2026-27 season and Bedard seeks 15 percent of that — about what Auston Matthews and Connor McDavid got on their second deals — Bedard’s cap hit would be $15.6 million. If Bedard isn’t producing at their rates by next season, 10 to 12 percent might be more realistic, which could be in the range of $10 million to $13 million.

Bedard’s contract isn’t the only one Davidson will have to figure out before the 2026-27 season. Kevin Korchinski, Frank Nazar and Lukas Reichel will also be restricted free agents leading up to that season. As of now, none of those players will likely get large contracts. That could change during the 2024-25 season, but none of those players has much NHL production to give them much leverage.

Aside from Bedard’s, the Blackhawks’ other major contracts will be Seth Jones ($9.5 million), Tyler Bertuzzi ($5.5 million), Teuvo Teräväinen ($5.4 million) and Alex Vlasic ($4.6 million). Philipp Kurashev will also likely be on another contract. If the Blackhawks don’t make a major offseason splash leading into the 2025-26 season, as I speculated last week, it could come the following offseason. McDavid, Kirill Kaprizov, Jack Eichel, Artemi Panarin and Kyle Connor are among the players who could become free agents before the 2026-27 season.

The likely permanent newcomers to the 2026-27 roster will be Drew Commesso, Ryan Greene, Nick Lardis, Oliver Moore, Paul Ludwinski, Roman Kansterov and Sam Rinzel.

Here are the likely players in the 2026-27 lineup with their ages at the start of the season and where their contracts are likely to stand:

Forwards
Player
  
Age in 2026
  
Contract
  
Major UFA signing
N/A
First or second year of contract
Connor Bedard
21
First year of second contract
Tyler Bertuzzi
31
$5.5 million, third year of four-year contract
Colton Dach
23
LIkely first year of second contract
Ryan Greene
22
Likely third year of entry-level contract
Roman Kantserov
22
Likely first year of entry-level contract
Philipp Kurashev
26
Second year of third contract
Nick Lardis
21
$896,666, second year of entry-level contract
Paul Ludwinski
22
$900,000, third year of entry-level contract
Frank Nazar
22
First year of second contract
Teuvo Teräväinen
32
$5.4 million, final year of contract
Oliver Moore
21
Likely third year of entry-level contract
Samuel Savoie
22
$846,666, final year of entry-level contract
Landon Slaggert
24
$900,000, second year of second contract

Defensemen
Player
  
Age in 2026
  
Contract
  
Seth Jones
32
$9.5 million, fifth year of eight-year contract
Wyatt Kaiser
24
Likely second year of second contract
Kevin Korchinski
22
First year of second contract
Artyom Levshunov
20
$975,000, likely second year of entry-level contract
Sam Rinzel
22
Likely third year of entry-level contract
Alex Vlasic
25
$4.6 million, third year of six-year contract

Goalies
Player
  
Age in 2026
  
Contract
  
Drew Commesso
24
First year of second contract
Arvid Söderblom
27
Second year of third contract


2027-28 season

The Blackhawks will have some tough roster decisions as more of their high-round picks make their way through the system.

By the 2027-28 season, the Blackhawks could be introducing three first-round picks to their lineup. That could include Sacha Boisvert and Marek Vanacker, who were drafted in the first round in 2024, and whomever they take with their first pick in 2025.

If Monday’s standings were to hold, the Blackhawks would have the best odds of picking first in the 2025 draft. The No. 1 player in Corey Pronman’s recent rankings was Porter Martone, a winger.

A.J. Spellacy could be another newcomer to the lineup. Depending on where prospects are in their development, the Blackhawks may look to buy out Bertuzzi. As you can see below, the lineup decision could get challenging.

Here are the likely players in the 2027-28 lineup with their ages at the start of the season and where their contracts are likely to stand:

Forwards
Player
  
Age in 2027
  
Contract
  
2025 top-five pick
20
Possible first or second year of entry-level contract
Major UFA signing
N/A
Second or third year of contract
Connor Bedard
22
Second year of second contract
Tyler Bertuzzi
32
$5.5 million, final year of contract
Sacha Boisvert
21
Likely third year of entry-level contract
Ryan Greene
23
Likely first year of second contract
Roman Kantserov
23
Likely first year of entry-level contract
Nick Lardis
22
$896,666, third year of entry-level contract
Paul Ludwinski
23
First year of second contract
Oliver Moore
22
Likely first year of second contract
Frank Nazar
23
Second year of second contract
Samuel Savoie
23
First year of second contract
A.J. Spellacy
21
Likely second year of entry-level contract
Marek Vanacker
21
Likely second year of entry-level contract

Defensemen
Player
  
Age in 2027
  
Contract
  
Nolan Allan
24
Second year of second contract
Seth Jones
33
$9.5 million, sixth year of eight-year contract
Wyatt Kaiser
25
Likely first year of third contract
Kevin Korchinski
23
Likely second year of second contract
Artyom Levshunov
21
$975,000, likely third year of entry-level contract
Sam Rinzel
22
Likely first year of second contract
Alex Vlasic
26
$4.6 million, fourth year of six-year contract

Goalies
Player
  
Age in 2027
  
Contract
  
Drew Commesso
25
Second year of second contract
Arvid Söderblom
28
Possible first year of fourth contract


2028-29 season

The Blackhawks might have some roster stability and a chance to be a Stanley Cup contender in 2028-29.

Their lineup will still be young, but it’ll be full of experienced players in their primes. Most of the lineup will have two or three seasons of NHL play behind it. Bedard will be in his sixth season. The defense could stick together for a few seasons.

Here are the likely players in the 2028-29 lineup with their ages at the start of the season and where their contracts are likely to stand:

Forwards
Player
  
Age in 2028
  
Contract
  
2025 top-five pick
21
Possible second or third year of entry-level contract
Major UFA signing
N/A
Third or fourth year of contract
Connor Bedard
23
Likely third year of second contract
Sacha Boisvert
22
Likely first year of second contract
Ryan Greene
24
Likely second year of second contract
Roman Kantserov
24
Likely first year of second contract
Nick Lardis
23
First year of second contract
Paul Ludwinski
24
Likely second year of second contract
Oliver Moore
23
Likely second year of second contract
Frank Nazar
24
Likely third year of second contract
Samuel Savoie
24
Likely second year of second contract
A.J. Spellacy
22
Likely third year of entry-level contract
Marek Vanacker
22
Likely third year of entry-level contract

Defensemen
Player
  
Age in 2028
  
Contract
  
Seth Jones
34
$9.5 million, seventh year of eight-year contract
Wyatt Kaiser
26
Likely second year of third contract
Kevin Korchinski
24
Likely third year of second contract
Artyom Levshunov
22
Likely first year of second contract
Sam Rinzel
24
Likely second year of second contract
Alex Vlasic
27
$4.6 million, fifth year of six-year contract

Goalies
Player
  
Age in 2028
  
Contract
  
Drew Commesso
26
Possible first year of third contract
Arvid Söderblom
29
Possible second year of fourth contract


2029-2030 season

If Davidson’s plan works, the Blackhawks should be a consistent Stanley Cup contender at this point.

The cap could be crunching the Blackhawks at this point, too. Nearly everyone on this roster will be beyond his entry-level contract. It’s going to get more important as time goes on for Davidson to get the numbers right, move on from players when needed and bring in a few more prospects.

Here are the likely players in the 2029-30 lineup with their ages at the start of the season and where their contracts are likely to stand:

Forwards
Player
  
Age in 2029
  
Contract
  
2025 top-five pick
22
Possible first year of second contract
2025 other first-round pick
22
Possible third year of entry-level contract
2026 first-round pick
21
Possible second year of entry-level contract
Major UFA signing
N/A
Fourth or fifth year of contract
Connor Bedard
24
Likely fourth year of second contract
Sacha Boisvert
23
Likely second year of second contract
Ryan Greene
25
Likely first year of third contract
Roman Kantserov
25
Likely second year of second contract
Nick Lardis
24
Likely second year of second contract
Oliver Moore
24
Likely third year of second contract
Frank Nazar
25
Likely fourth year of second contract
A.J. Spellacy
23
Likely first year of second contract
Marek Vanacker
23
Likely first year of second contract

Defensemen
Player
  
Age in 2029
  
Contract
  
Seth Jones
35
$9.5 million, final year of contract
Wyatt Kaiser
27
Likely third year of third contract
Kevin Korchinski
25
Likely fourth year of second contract
Artyom Levshunov
23
Likely second year of second contract
Sam Rinzel
25
Likely third year of second contract
Alex Vlasic
28
$4.6 million, final year of contract

Goalies
Player
  
Age in 2029
  
Contract
  
Drew Commesso
27
Possible second year of third contract
Adam Gajan
25
Possible first year of second contract

(Photos of Connor Bedard and Artyom Levshunov: Steph Chambers / Getty Images and Nathan Vestal / Rockford IceHogs)