Jake Ciely's 2024 Fantasy Football Rankings: De'Von Achane, Marvin Harrison and more early ranks
The Super Bowl is over, the Chiefs are champions — again — and it’s time to talk 2024 fantasy football rankings! It’s never too early, and plenty will change once we get through free agency, the NFL draft and preseason — free agency and the draft will be covered here too — but we can take this chance to see how the 2023 season will affect our plans for 2024.
- Just like the dynasty ranks, rookies are included. It’s an estimation of how they’ll rank, and several running backs and wide receivers are grouped together because landing spots will change things.
- As mentioned, free agency will be huge — i.e., Josh Jacobs and Zamir White can have wildly different ranks depending on Jacobs’ team.
- Mostly ignore the ECR stuff — it stands for Expert Consensus Ranking, and many of the “expert” rankers don’t regularly update theirs, which will skew the ranks.
- Feel free to jump in the comments and ask for further ranks context, start a discussion about a particular rank, etc.
2024 Fantasy Football Rankings
Yes, ranks are only positional and half-PPR for now. After all, soooo much will change, and this is an early look to enjoy debating ranks while we wait for free agency.
Quarterback Rankings Notes
- Caleb Williams has a wide range of outcomes, as C.J. Stroud and Kyler Murray (2019) show the upside of being a Top 10 QB immediately, while Bryce Young provides the evidence for the floor. I obviously lean toward the former, and I’m always more aggressive on chasing QB upside versus worrying about QB16. I want Top 5-10 upside, not floor, at quarterback.
- Kirk Cousins has Top 10 potential if he’s back with the Vikings and could jump Justin Herbert, who already had some concern with Jim Harbaugh’s style, but even more now with Greg Roman — his offenses have always been in the Top 10 for rush attempts, and Bottom FIVE in pass attempts 9 out of 10 seasons.
- If Aaron Rodgers plays — and plays a full season — he should be more in the top-end QB2 realm, but no longer a QB1.
- Will Levis has boom/bust potential with new head coach Brian Callahan, but the Titans have questions at wideout (Treylon Burks’ health and if he’s going to hit in the NFL at this point) and offensive line.
Running Back Rankings Notes
- While no Arthur Smith is a clear boost for Bijan Robinson, don’t underrate the potential for Zac Robinson to treat Robinson as Sean McVay did with Kyren Williams — that means Robinson has THE No. 1 RB upside.
- De’Von Achane over Raheem Mostert might end up being a mistake, buying into the excitement. Still, I believe this will be like Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram with the Saints — Kamara regularly Top 5-10 and Ingram bouncing around low-RB1 to mid-RB2.
- I’m not ready to give up on Javonte Williams, as he wouldn’t be the first running back to struggle in his first-year post-injury only to look great the year after that.
- I don’t think I’ll have many Joe Mixon or Derrick Henry shares even if they’re the lead option somewhere, as the days of efficiency and/or bellcow status for their teams seem over.
Wide Receiver Rankings Notes
- Let’s get it out of the way… yes, Marvin Harrison is that good. A Justin Jefferson/JaMarr Chase-like rookie season — putting up Top 10 numbers — is more than doable… unless he ends up on the Patriots.
- Unless he is traded into a better volume/consistent situation, I don’t see how Stefon Diggs will get back to the Top 20, let alone the Top 15. From Weeks 10-17 — not a small sample — Diggs was WR55 behind his teammate Gabe Davis, who had three zeroes! It wasn’t any better in FPPG, as Diggs was WR58 behind the likes of Greg Dortch, Dontayvion Wicks and Bo Melton. The downturn started back in Week 7 and before the Ken Dorsey firing — though, it was even worse after that. While I believe Diggs has WR2 value left, I don’t think a WR1 return comes in Buffalo.
- On that note, this range of wide receivers will be a massive tier. You could argue there are minute differences from Davante Adams (at WR20) down to just before the rookie grouping at WR40. With a range this big, I’d lean to chase a bit more upside for a wideout who could reach the Top 15 versus the safety of someone I know should be right in the WR25-35 range (Drake London versus Christian Kirk, for example).
- The WR40+ range has some juicy breakout options, many of whom you know I’m a big fan of, such as Khalil Shakir, Josh Downs, Jameson Williams and Michael Wilson.
- Don’t forget the highly-touted, but disappointing 2023 rookies. Those are often tremendous values in Year 2: Marvin Mims, Quentin Johnston, Jalin Hyatt and even Jonathan Mingo if the Panthers can add a good separating option alongside him.
Tight End Rankings Notes
- As usual, I’ll probably avoid the Tier 3 of tight ends — in this case, George Kittle at TE6 to Jake Ferguson at TE9. The cost is often too high given the later-round options that finish exceptionally close or even eclipse them. Kyle Pitts stands out with Arthur Smith gone, but Luke Musgrave was looking good before his injury, Cade Otton showed signs of a potential Top 12 tight end coming, and Michael Mayer has some Trey McBride similarities skill and timing-wise. He falls into that Mims/Johnston bucket from the wide receivers.
(Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images)